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No matter how you look at it — the Buckeye run defense is elite.
The remaining schedule has Saquon Barkley and Penn State’s 19th S&P rushing offense, and then no offense ranked higher than the 50s in rushing S&P — unless the Buckeyes get to the Big Ten Championship, where they’d likely face Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor and the Badgers’ 18th-ranked rushing offense.
The bye week comes at a perfect time for us to take a deep dive into Ohio State’s advanced stats — not only have the Buckeyes finished their Big Ten warm up games and are getting ready for a revenge game against Penn State, but the advanced stats profiles over at Football Study Hall have been updated with opponent adjustments (i.e., all of the “ ” metrics) and all preseason projections have been phased out.
If there’s one thing this defense does well, it’s stopping the run.
The Buckeye defense, led by the defensive line, is ranked 2nd overall in rushing S&P .
It is intended to say "Given your success rates, big plays, field position components, turnovers, etc., you could have expected to win this game X% of the time." It has nothing to do with pre-game projections or opponent adjustments.
So essentially, if you take the weekly advanced box score numbers and ran them through a simulation 10,000 times, how often would Ohio State be expected to win that game?
The Free Press reported last week that Speight has a broken collarbone, but Harbaugh has not confirmed that. “You’re not leaving the building.”Asked specifically about defending OSU hybrid back Curtis Samuel, Brown said: “Well, he’s an athlete. That’s really what it comes down to.”Physical approach: Linebacker Jabrill Peppers told reporters on Tuesday that he watched tape of some Ohio State games and thought that one of the keys would be to be very physical with them, especially quarterback J. Barrett.“You know, obviously, that’s our mantra,” Brown said. Drevno said the plan against Ohio State is to attack weaknesses.
Secondary thoughts: Defensive coordinator Don Brown got up close with a reporter today while describing how close members of his secondary get when covering opposing receivers. “One of the things we’re constantly trying to do is stop the run. “Like any game plan, you try to create matchups,” he said. Please help us abide by broadcasting contracts by assisting us in this regard.Events that appear below with a key icon may require a passcode to view, which can be obtained from the on-site media relations staff. The reason is that there’s a pretty steep drop-off between Alabama and Penn State in the S&P .The S&P points margin — which is how much a team would be favored by or underdogs to the theoretical average football team in the country (those teams are Duke, Western Kentucky, and Kentucky, by the way) — has Ohio State at 29.6, Alabama at 27.3, and then Penn State at 22.4.The difference between Ohio State and Penn State in S&P margin is the same as the difference between Penn State and Stanford, at 15th.